William Eldridge Golf

Player development · Avondale GC, NSW

William Eldridge

This site follows William’s development as a golfer. The aim is to prepare him to compete in major open tournaments over the next few years, using his tournament results and shot data to decide what to work on.

William walking across a green with his putter, the flag beside him and water behind.
+2.4Current handicap.
281Tied 1st, Boys 16 Years, Jack Newton International Junior Classic, October 2026.
65Final round at Cypress Lakes, six under par.
March 2028He turns 18. This plan runs to that date and beyond.

The mission

William is 16 and already competing at the top of his age group. The next step is the open game, against fields that include the best amateurs of any age.

Getting there is a matter of finding where shots are gained and lost against the players he has to beat, and spending practice time where it counts most. This site keeps that work in one place for William, his coach and his family. In time it will also carry his profile for US college coaches.

How it works

  1. Compete

    Play strong fields. Every round adds to the record on the Tournaments page.

  2. Analyse

    After each event, compare his scoring hole by hole with the players at the top. The studies are on the Analysis page.

  3. Train

    Turn the findings into a short list of priorities and measure them at the next event. That list is on the Development page.

Current priorities

From the October 2026 field study of 156 players at the Jack Newton International Junior Classic.

  1. The second nine, and doubles

    All four of his doubles came on the second nine he played. They cost about 4.5 shots over the week against the norm for the top 15.

  2. Mid-irons into par 3s of 160 to 190 m

    About 2.7 shots over the week against the top 15.

  3. Wedge approaches on short and mid-length par 4s

    About 4.0 shots over the week, partly the same shots as the first item.

  4. Keep the strengths sharp

    Par 5 scoring was the best in the field: birdie or better on 11 of 16. Long par 4s and fast starts were also top-group quality.

Read the full study

On this site

Development

What to work on, and how we will know

The priorities below come from tournament evidence. Each one has a number attached, so the next event shows whether the work is paying off.

Where William stands

Strengths to keep

  • Par 5s. 10 under for the week against 7.4 under for the top 15. 2nd of 156.
  • Long par 4s. Level par on the two longest, where the top 15 averaged 1.1 over.
  • Avoiding bogeys. 2.0 a round, 5th fewest in the field.
  • Fast starts. His first nines were the 4th-best in the field.
  • A low round in him. The 65 was the second-best round of the week once conditions are allowed for.

Where the shots are

  • Doubles. One a round, against 0.4 for the top 15.
  • The second nine. 30th in the field, against 4th for the first nine.
  • Mid-iron par 3s. 5 over for the week on the four between 159 and 190 m.
  • Wedge-length par 4s. 2 over on the short and mid-length par 4s, where the top 15 were 2.0 under.

Based on one event. These are leads to confirm over the next few tournaments. The detail is in the field study.

The scoreboard

The same measures will be filled in after each event.

MeasureJack Newton 2026Top-15 benchmarkNext event
Doubles or worse per round1.000.40—
Shots lost to doubles or worse, per round2.000.87—
Second nine played against first nine, shots per round−2.25−0.29—
Par 3s of 159–190 m, to par per round+1.25+0.58—
Short and mid par 4s, to par per round+0.50−0.50—
Par 5s, to par per round−2.50−1.85—
Birdies or better per round4.504.17—
Bogeys per round2.002.30—

The benchmark is the average of the 15 best players in the pooled field of 156.

Practice plan

To be agreed with his coach

The plan will sit here, set out against the priorities above: what is being worked on, how often, and the drill or test that measures it.

Practice data

William practises on a SkyTrak ST MAX launch monitor. Session data will be added here. The first uses follow from the priorities:

What to record at each event

Hole scores show where shots went but not why. Twenty seconds a hole closes that gap.

Tournaments

Results and schedule

Every event William plays, with a link to the analysis where one has been done.

Results

EventDatesCourseDivisionRoundsTotalFinishAnalysis
Jack Newton International Junior Classic6–9 Oct 2026Cypress Lakes, NSW (par 71, 5,870 m)Boys 16 Years72 · 71 · 73 · 65281 (−3)Tied 1st of 52Field study

Across the Boys 15, 16 and 17 Years divisions, which played the same tees on the same days, 281 was tied 9th of 156.

Upcoming

No events added yet

His schedule for the coming months will be listed here with dates, courses and formats.

Target events

To be set

The major open and amateur tournaments William is building towards will be listed here, with their dates and entry requirements.

Analysis

Studies

Each study compares William with the field he played against and ends with what it means for his preparation.

Field studies

October 2026 · Cypress Lakes Will against the field: Jack Newton International Junior Classic 156 finishers, 630 rounds and 11,340 hole scores across the Boys 15, 16 and 17 Years divisions. Where he gains and gives back shots against the top 15, with weather, tee times and fatigue checked. Open the study

To come

Analysis › Field study

2026 Jack Newton International Junior Classic · Cypress Lakes · 6–9 October

Will against the field

Every boy in the 15, 16 and 17 Years divisions played the same tees on the same four days. That gives 156 finishers, 630 rounds and 11,340 hole scores to compare. This report looks at what separates the players at the top, and where Will gains and gives back shots against them.

281Tied 9th of 156 in the pooled field. Tied 1st of 52 in the 16s.
65His final round. Allowing for conditions, the second-best round of the week by anyone.
11 of 16Par 5s played in birdie or better, the best rate in the field.
4 doublesAll on the second nine he played, in rounds 2 and 3. Eight shots.

The short version

  1. Doubles on the second nine are the biggest thing between Will and the very top.

    Will beat the top-15 average for birdies and for bogeys. He gave it all back in four holes: doubles cost him 8 shots over the week against a top-15 norm of 3.5. That 4.5-shot gap is larger than the two shots that separated him from the top-15 average. All four came on the second nine he played.

    Solid as a description of this week. Suggestive as a lasting pattern: on four rounds, about one player in ten shows a fade this size by chance.

  2. For three rounds Will scored like a chaser. The 65 put him in the top group.

    After 54 holes he was on 216, 29th in the pooled field and nearly seven shots behind the eventual top-15 average of 209.4. Allowing for how much a single round can swing, the model puts his level for the week 10th of 156: inside the top group, at its lower edge.

    Solid

  3. The top 15 beat the chasers mainly by dropping fewer shots.

    The gap is 2.5 shots a round. About 50% comes from fewer bogeys, 27% from more birdies and 23% from fewer doubles. Further down the field it is doubles that do the damage: 1.7 a round against 0.4 for the top 15.

    Solid

  4. Par 5s are Will’s clearest edge, and they are where the top group gains most.

    He was 10 under on the par 5s for the week against 7.4 under for the top 15, despite a double on the 14th. Per hole, the top 15 gain about twice as much on the chasers on par 5s (0.22 shots) as on par 3s (0.11).

    Solid

  5. He gives shots back with a mid-iron or a wedge in hand.

    On the four par 3s between 159 and 190 m he was 5 over against a top-15 average of 2.3 over. On the seven short and mid-length par 4s he was 2 over against 2.0 under, which includes two of the doubles. Those are the clubs he trusts least.

    Suggestive Sixteen and twenty-eight holes are small samples.

  6. The field shows no fatigue pattern, and the weather barely moved scores.

    Across 156 players there is no drop-off late in a round or late in the week, and no cost to a late finish followed by an early start. The eight day-and-wave combinations all played within 0.8 shots of average. Will’s second-nine fade is his own, not something the field shares.

    No effect found

Where Will sits

The three age groups are pooled into one field and split into three groups on 72-hole total: the top 15 (281 or better), the chasers (the next 36, 282 to 295) and the rest of the field (105 players, 296 and up). Will’s 281 sits on the boundary of the top group.

The pooled field156 finishers, grouped in two-shot steps
Top 15 (281 or better)Chasers (282–295)Rest of field (296+)Will
28030032034036072-hole total (each dot is one player)Will, 281 (tied 9th)

The field is wide. The average finisher shot 303.8, and the model puts the spread in true level at about 4.3 shots a round between players, with a further 3.6 shots of round-to-round swing for any one player. That second number matters for everything below: one round, good or bad, says little by itself.

Will’s four cards

Round123456789Out101112131415161718InTotal
Par543435444364334535443571
R1off 10544444454384334444443472
R2off 1433435344334334725463871
R3off 1444533434346354445443973
R4off 1443334444333335424443265

3 eagle3 birdie5 bogey6 double bogey the second nine he played that day

Throughout, shots gained means shots better than the average finisher on the same hole, on the same day, in the same tee-time wave. It lets rounds played in different conditions be compared fairly.

What separates the groups

Scoring mixHoles per round
Top 15 (281 or better)Chasers (282–295)Rest of field (296+)Will
012345Holes per roundBirdies or betterper roundWill 4.507th of 156Bogeysper roundWill 2.005th fewestDoubles or worseper roundWill 1.0059th fewest
Show the numbers
Top 15ChasersRest of fieldWill
Birdies or better (per round)4.173.652.144.50
Bogeys (per round)2.303.575.282.00
Doubles or worse (per round)0.400.661.731.00

Birdies do not separate the top 15 from the chasers by much: 4.2 a round against 3.6. Bogeys do: 2.3 against 3.6. Will made more birdies than the top-15 average and fewer bogeys than all but four players in the field. His doubles are the outlier, at one a round.

Shots per round behind the top 15TotalFrom fewer birdiesFrom more bogeysFrom doubles or worse
Chasers+2.53+0.68+1.27+0.59
Rest of field+8.38+2.23+2.98+3.19
Will+0.53−0.30−0.30+1.13

A positive number is shots lost to the top 15. Will’s row reads: 0.3 gained through birdies, 0.3 gained through fewer bogeys, 1.1 lost through doubles.

Had his four doubles been bogeys he would have shot 277, which would have won the 16s by four and placed 5th in the pooled field.

Hole type and length

Where each group gainsPer hole played, by type of hole
Top 15 (281 or better)Chasers (282–295)Rest of field (296+)Will
−0.20.0+0.2+0.4+0.6Shots gained on the average finisher, per hole playedPar 3s5 holes, 123–190 mWill +0.2132nd of 156Short par 4s3 holes, 303–322 mWill +0.2534th of 156Mid par 4s4 holes, 337–369 mWill +0.2140th of 156Long par 4s2 holes, 382–383 mWill +0.4114th of 156Par 5s4 holes, 428–559 mWill +0.652nd of 156
Show the numbers
Top 15ChasersRest of fieldWill
Par 3s (5 holes, 123–190 m)+0.28+0.17−0.10+0.21
Short par 4s (3 holes, 303–322 m)+0.36+0.20−0.11+0.25
Mid par 4s (4 holes, 337–369 m)+0.36+0.20−0.12+0.21
Long par 4s (2 holes, 382–383 m)+0.24+0.28−0.13+0.41
Par 5s (4 holes, 428–559 m)+0.47+0.25−0.15+0.65

The top 15 pull away from the chasers on the scoring holes. The per-hole gap is 0.22 on par 5s, 0.16 on mid-length par 4s and 0.16 on short par 4s. On the two long par 4s there is no gap at all (−0.03). At this level the long holes are a matter of not losing ground; the tournament is decided on the holes that offer a birdie.

Will’s profile is the mirror image of his trust in his clubs. He is 2nd in the field on par 5s and 14th on the long par 4s, where the driver does the work. He is 34th on short par 4s, 40th on mid-length par 4s and 32nd on par 3s.

Will against the top 15, hole by holeShots over the four rounds. Above the line he gained, below it he gave shots back.
Will gainedWill gave back
−2−10+1+21542824369−1.5331904438353159+1.5654917431384322+1.194382−1.3104303113123123170134365145450153174+1.4165559174337−1.8184352HoleParMetres
Show the numbers
HoleParMetresField to parTop 15 to parRest of field to parDoubles or worse, fieldWill’s scoresWill v top 15, week
15428−0.49−0.90−0.363%5 4 4 4−0.6
24369+0.14−0.20+0.254%4 3 4 4+0.2
33190+0.37+0.12+0.464%4 3 4 3−1.5
44383+0.310.00+0.459%4 4 5 30.0
53159+0.32+0.08+0.424%4 3 3 3−0.7
65491−0.05−0.63+0.114%4 5 3 4+1.5
74313+0.03−0.27+0.092%4 3 4 4−0.1
84322+0.24+0.02+0.325%5 4 3 4+0.1
94382+0.51+0.27+0.6611%4 4 4 4+1.1
104303+0.45−0.07+0.6312%4 4 6 3−1.3
113123+0.46+0.22+0.5812%3 3 3 3+0.9
123170+0.52+0.28+0.5810%3 3 5 3−0.9
134365+0.41+0.12+0.5210%4 4 4 5−0.5
145450+0.21−0.17+0.368%4 7 4 4+0.3
153174+0.48+0.10+0.588%4 2 4 2+0.4
165559+0.32−0.15+0.4610%4 5 5 4+1.4
174337+0.30−0.15+0.4210%4 4 4 4−0.6
184352+0.44+0.05+0.578%4 6 4 4−1.8
Over the four roundsWill to parTop 15 averageWill gains (+) or gives back (−)
Par 5s (holes 1, 6, 14, 16)−10−7.4+2.6
Long par 4s (4, 9)level+1.1+1.1
Short par 3 (11, 123 m)level+0.9+0.9
Short par 4s (7, 8, 10)level−1.3−1.3
Mid par 4s (2, 13, 17, 18)+2−0.7−2.7
Mid-iron par 3s (3, 5, 12, 15; 159–190 m)+5+2.3−2.7
All 18 holes−3−5.1−2.1

Two holes deserve a plan of their own. The 10th is the shortest par 4 on the course at 303 m and one of the hardest against par: the field averaged +0.45 with a double or worse 12% of the time, while the top 15 played it in −0.07. Will went 4, 4, 6, 3. The 18th cost him 1.8 shots against the top 15, all from one double.

Length within a par is a weak guide on one course: there are only five par 3s, nine par 4s and four par 5s. The short-par-4 finding rests on nine holes, so treat it as a lead.

Inside the round

Half the field started each round on the 10th, so every hole was played early in the round by some players and late by others. That separates tiredness from the difficulty of the holes.

Early, middle and late holesIn the order played, against each player’s own level
Top 15 (281 or better)Chasers (282–295)Rest of field (296+)Will
−0.20.0+0.2+0.4+0.6+0.8+1.0Shots per round against the player’s own level for the weekFirst six holesin the order playedWill +0.99Middle sixWill +0.08Last sixWill −0.12
Show the numbers
Top 15ChasersRest of fieldWill
First six holes (in the order played)+0.48+0.29−0.23+0.99
Middle six+0.28+0.32−0.16+0.08
Last six+0.15−0.03+0.09−0.12

For the field as a whole there is nothing there. The average difference between the second nine played and the first is +0.11 shots, effectively zero. The top 15 and the chasers do their best scoring in the first six holes, and the rest of the field starts slowly and settles, but each of those differences is under half a shot a round.

Will’s first nine against his secondEach round, in the order he played them
First nine playedSecond nine played
0+1+2+3+4+5+6+7Shots gained on the average finisher over nine holesRound 1: 72started on 10, 11:40AM−4.2Round 2: 71started on 1, 6:55AM−4.4Round 3: 73started on 1, 12:00PM−3.1Round 4: 65started on 1, 11:50AM+2.7

The figure at the end of each row is the change from his first nine to his second.

Show the numbers
RoundFirst nine playedSecond nine playedChange
Round 1: 72, started on 10, 11:40AM+4.3 (holes 10–18, −1 to par)+0.1 (holes 1–9, +2 to par)−4.2
Round 2: 71, started on 1, 6:55AM+4.6 (holes 1–9, −3 to par)+0.2 (holes 10–18, +3 to par)−4.4
Round 3: 73, started on 1, 12:00PM+3.1 (holes 1–9, −2 to par)0.0 (holes 10–18, +4 to par)−3.1
Round 4: 65, started on 1, 11:50AM+4.6 (holes 1–9, −3 to par)+7.2 (holes 10–18, −3 to par)+2.7

Will is different. In each of the first three rounds his second nine was three to four shots worse than his first, measured against the field on the same holes. It happened when he started on the 10th in round 1 and when he started on the 1st in rounds 2 and 3, so it follows the order of play, not a particular nine. His first nines were the 4th-best in the field. His second nines were 30th.

In round 4 the pattern reversed: 3 under going out and 3 under coming home for the 65. So he can close. In rounds 1 to 3 he turned under par each time (−1, −3, −2) and came home over par each time (+2, +3, +4).

How much weight to put on this: his average fade of 2.3 shots is the 16th-largest of 156, and a typical player’s figure moves by 1.8 shots from chance alone. So it is a lead to test at the next few events, not a proven trait. It does fit what has been seen in his rounds before: no set reset routine after a bad hole, and a habit of thinking about the score he needs.

The course plays a part in where the doubles fell. Holes 10 to 18 produced a double or worse on 9.8% of plays across the field, against 5.3% for holes 1 to 9. All four of Will’s doubles were on the back nine (10, 12, 14 and 18).

Across the four days

Round by roundShots gained per round
Top 15 (281 or better)Chasers (282–295)Rest of field (296+)Will
−20+2+4+6+8+10+12Shots gained on the average finisher in the same conditionsRound 1Tue 6 OctWill +4.429th of 156Round 2Wed 7 OctWill +4.821st of 156Round 3Thu 8 OctWill +3.138th of 156Round 4Fri 9 OctWill +11.82nd of 156
Show the numbers
Top 15ChasersRest of fieldWill
Round 1 (Tue 6 Oct)+6.3+3.8−2.2+4.4
Round 2 (Wed 7 Oct)+6.2+3.2−1.9+4.8
Round 3 (Thu 8 Oct)+5.5+4.4−2.3+3.1
Round 4 (Fri 9 Oct)+7.3+3.8−2.4+11.8

No group faded over the week. Comparing rounds 3 and 4 with rounds 1 and 2, the change is +0.2 for the top 15, +0.6 for the chasers and −0.3 for the rest of the field, all within the noise. The final day played about 1.0 shot harder than the first three for everyone, which could be pin positions, pressure, heat or tiredness. This data cannot tell those apart.

Will’s week was three ordinary rounds by his standards and one exceptional one. Rounds 1 to 3 averaged 4.1 shots gained, 26th in the field, which is chaser level. Round 4 gained 11.8.

Conditions-adjusted roundsTop 15ChasersRest of fieldWill
Best round66.668.974.664.2
Worst round72.875.482.172.9
Spread (standard deviation)2.752.883.373.92

Allowing for conditions, his best round was the second-best in the field and his worst was the 10th-best worst round, so both his ceiling and his floor are top-group quality. The spread between his rounds was wider than most (114th of 156 for steadiness), which is the 65 pulling away from the other three.

Weather, tee times and starting hole

DayMin °CMax °CRain mm, 24 h to 9am next day9am3pmStrongest gust
R1 Tue 6 Oct12.930.20.020.1°, SSE 7 km/h28.5°, W 11 km/hNW 31 km/h at 13:17
R2 Wed 7 Oct15.119.40.016.7°, SSE 24 km/h18.5°, SSE 20 km/hSSE 37 km/h at 06:57
R3 Thu 8 Oct8.823.10.016.3°, NE 4 km/h23.0°, WNW 11 km/hESE 26 km/h at 15:08
R4 Fri 9 Oct4.729.90.415.8°, calm27.6°, NNW 13 km/hE 37 km/h at 16:11

Observed at Cessnock Airport, a few kilometres from the course. No rain was recorded for the first three days. The 0.4 mm against Friday fell some time before 9am Saturday, and the hourly model shows none during Friday’s playing hours.

The four days were quite different: a hot, still Tuesday; a cool Wednesday with a steady southerly of 20 to 24 km/h, gusting to 37; a mild, calm Thursday; and a Friday that started at 5°C and reached 30°C.

How hard each day and wave playedAfter allowing for who was playing. The bar is the likely range.
−2−10+1+2Shots harder (+) or easier (−) than the week’s averageTemp °CWind km/hPeak gustR1 Tue morning15–27626R1 Tue afternoon23–28939R2 Wed morning14–181646R2 Wed afternoon14–181442R3 Thu morning9–21622R3 Thu afternoon15–22735R4 Fri morning7–25423R4 Fri afternoon19–27937

Temperature, wind and gusts are hourly model values for the hours each wave was on the course.

Show the numbers
Round and waveOn coursePlayersHarder or easier, shotsLikely rangeTemp °CAverage wind km/hPeak gust km/h
R1 Tue morning6:45-13:45103−0.64−1.2 to 0.015–27626
R1 Tue afternoon11:30-17:3056+0.41−0.4 to +1.223–28939
R2 Wed morning6:45-12:4556−0.25−1.1 to +0.614–181646
R2 Wed afternoon11:30-18:30103−0.83−1.4 to −0.214–181442
R3 Thu morning6:45-13:4577−0.07−0.8 to +0.69–21622
R3 Thu afternoon11:30-18:3079+0.08−0.6 to +0.815–22735
R4 Fri morning6:45-13:4576+0.52−0.2 to +1.27–25423
R4 Fri afternoon11:30-18:3080+0.78+0.1 to +1.519–27937

Once the strength of the players in each wave is allowed for, conditions made little difference. All eight combinations sit within 0.8 shots of average and most of the ranges include zero. The windy Wednesday was, if anything, the easiest day. The two warmest afternoons played slightly harder, but not by more than chance would produce.

The practical reading is that this event gives no reason to build preparation around tee times or weather. It would take several more events with a properly windy or wet day to say whether Will gains or loses in bad conditions.

After a mistake

Next hole, against the rest of the same roundTop 15ChasersRest of fieldWill
After a bogey or worse−0.03−0.02−0.01+0.23
After a double or worse+0.35+0.10−0.03+0.45
After a birdie or better+0.03−0.020.00+0.03

Each figure is the next hole compared with the rest of the same round, in shots, so a bad day overall does not count against the player twice. Across the field there is no carry-over: a bogey does not make the next hole worse, in any group.

The same holds for Will. On the 11 holes that followed a dropped shot he played slightly better than in the rest of those rounds. After the 7 on the 14th in round 2 he made a 2 on the 15th. So the hole straight after a mistake is not where his shots went. The issue is the size of the mistake when it comes, and that it came late in the round.

The age groups

Age groupFinishersAverage totalIn the top 15ChasersRest of fieldBirdies per roundDoubles per round
Boys 1546308.548342.381.53
Boys 1652303.6317322.791.41
Boys 1758300.3811392.831.17

Each year of age is worth about a shot a round on average. The 17s supply 8 of the top 15, and they are the first to leave the junior ranks. The players who will be alongside Will until March 2028 are the 16s and the 15s, and 4 of the 15s are already in the top 15, including the best score of the week.

PlayerAge groupPooled positionRoundsTotal
Byron RieckBoys 15167 · 71 · 70 · 66274
Zac OystonBoys 17268 · 71 · 72 · 64275
Lan VuBoys 15T371 · 69 · 67 · 69276
Archie AlstonBoys 17T369 · 65 · 73 · 69276
Frankie NiallBoys 17569 · 70 · 69 · 70278
Jesse LindenBoys 15T670 · 66 · 73 · 70279
Jackson LeonardBoys 17T666 · 75 · 70 · 68279
Hamish RobbBoys 17T672 · 65 · 70 · 72279
Beau CainBoys 15T974 · 68 · 68 · 71281
William EldridgeBoys 16T972 · 71 · 73 · 65281
Alan XinBoys 16T968 · 69 · 75 · 69281
Riley LamBoys 16T970 · 72 · 67 · 72281
Elbert KimBoys 17T968 · 68 · 73 · 72281
Charlie PengBoys 17T970 · 71 · 68 · 72281
Malachy MarshallBoys 17T969 · 68 · 71 · 73281

Will’s numbers in one place

MeasureWillTop 15 averageGapWill’s rank of 156
72-hole total281278.9+2.1T9
Shots gained per round+6.04+6.33−0.299th
Level for the week, model estimate (shots per round under the average finisher)−5.09−5.41+0.3210th
Birdies or better per round4.504.17+0.337th
Bogeys per round2.002.30−0.305th
Doubles or worse per round1.000.40+0.6059th
Shots lost to doubles or worse, per round2.000.87+1.1355th
Par 5s: shots gained per round+2.60+1.90+0.702nd
Par 5s: birdie or better69%52%+17 pts1st
Long par 4s: shots gained per round+0.82+0.49+0.3314th
Mid par 4s: shots gained per round+0.84+1.45−0.6140th
Short par 4s: shots gained per round+0.74+1.09−0.3534th
Par 3s: shots gained per round+1.04+1.40−0.3632nd
First nine played: shots gained+4.14+3.31+0.844th
Second nine played: shots gained+1.89+3.02−1.1330th
Second nine minus first nine−2.25−0.29−1.96141st
First three holes played: shots gained+1.12+1.03+0.0916th
Last three holes played: shots gained+0.72+1.12−0.4042nd
Best round, adjusted for conditions64.266.6−2.42nd
Worst round, adjusted for conditions72.972.8+0.110th
Spread of his four rounds (standard deviation)3.922.75+1.17114th
Next hole after a bogey or worse, against the rest of that round+0.23−0.03+0.2611th
Windy round (R2) against his other three−1.68−0.21−1.46104th

Rank 1 is always the best. Shots gained figures are per round unless stated.

What this points to for preparation

  1. Make the second nine a target in its own right.

    It is worth about 4.5 shots a week on this evidence, more than any other single item.

    • Agree a short reset routine and use it at the turn and after any dropped shot, whether or not he feels he needs it.
    • Set a damage rule for when a hole goes wrong: take the bogey. Four bogeys in place of the four doubles is four shots.
    • Practise second nines: nine holes straight after a full session, or nine holes with a score to protect.
    • At each event, note first-nine and second-nine scores and where any double came. Three or four more events will show whether this is a pattern.
  2. Mid-irons into par 3s of 160 to 190 m.

    About 2.7 shots a week against the top 15. On the SkyTrak, measure carry and left-right spread with the clubs he hits from those distances, and check whether his slight right miss with irons explains the dropped shots.

  3. Wedge-length approaches on short and mid par 4s.

    About 4.0 shots a week against the top 15, though two of the doubles are in that figure, so it overlaps with the first item. This is where the top group makes its birdies. A partial-wedge distance chart built on the SkyTrak is the obvious starting point, along with a set plan for short, risky par 4s like the 10th.

  4. Keep the strengths sharp.

    Par 5 scoring, the long par 4s and fast starts are real advantages over a field this strong. They rest on driving, so that should stay a priority and not be traded away for the items above.

  5. Leave weather and tee times alone for now.

    Nothing in this event supports a change.

The first three items overlap, because the same shots are being counted from different angles. They are not 11 separate shots.

Limits, and what to record next

How the numbers were made

Scores for all three boys’ divisions were taken from the Golf Genius scorecards and checked against the published leaderboards. Starting holes and tee times came from the tee sheets.

How hard each day and wave played was estimated with a model that gives every player a level for the week and every day-and-wave combination a difficulty. Tee times in rounds 3 and 4 were set by position, so the model treats each player’s level as uncertain instead of fixing it at his four-round average. Without that step the late waves look harder than they were, because players who are leading are, on average, slightly ahead of their true level.

Shots gained on a hole is the score an average finisher would be expected to make on that hole, that day, in that wave, minus the player’s score. Figures labelled “against his own level” also subtract the player’s level for the week, shared across holes in proportion to how much each hole separates good players from weaker ones.

“Solid” means the difference is several times larger than its margin of error. “Suggestive” means it is visible but could plausibly be chance. Likely ranges are 90% intervals.

Sources: Golf Genius leaderboard and scorecards · Golf Genius tee times · Bureau of Meteorology daily observations, Cessnock Airport · Open-Meteo hourly weather model

Profile Draft

Player profile

This page is being set up for US college coaches. It is not ready to circulate.

On file

Name
William Eldridge
Home club
Avondale GC, New South Wales, Australia
Plays
Right-handed
Handicap
+2.4
Age
16. Turns 18 in March 2028.
Latest result
Tied 1st, Boys 16 Years, Jack Newton International Junior Classic, October 2026: 72, 71, 73, 65 for 281 (3 under). All results

Still needed

What a college coach will usually ask for first.

Graduation year
To be added
School
To be added
Academic record
To be added
SAT or ACT scores
To be added
NCAA Eligibility Center ID
To be added
Scoring average and rankings
To be added as the results record grows
Swing video
To be added
Coach reference
To be added
Contact
To be added

Before this goes to coaches

The Development and Analysis sections are working documents for William’s team. A version for college coaches would carry this profile, his results and selected analysis.